File:Sunspots-gn-yr-total-smoothed-en.svg

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Description
English: Group sunspot number v 2.0, 1610-2015 (SILO data):
  • yr. 1610-2015: Yearly mean group number (v.2) from the backbone observer method (Svalgaard & Schatten 2016), source: WDC-SILSO, Royal Observatory of Belgium, Brussels, accessed June 3rd, 2016
  • yr. 2016-2020: Predicted Sunspot_Numbers, Created: 2016 May 09 0400 UTC, Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC), accessed June 3rd, 2016
The 2016-2020 prediction data has only been used in producing the smoothed black line (33yr hamming window).
Date
Source Own work
Author DeWikiMan
Other versions German version

Sources:

  • Frédéric Clette et al.: Revisiting the Sunspot Number: A 400-year perspective on the solar cycle. In: Space Sciences Series of ISSI - The Solar Activity Cycle. 2015. DOI:10.1007/978-1-4939-2584-1_3 (For details on the new group v2 number)
  • NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center: Predicted Sunspot Number and Radioflux. May 9th, 2016. Accessed June 3rd, 2016.
  • WDC-SILSO, Royal Observatory of Belgium, Brussels: group number | In: SILSO: Sunspot Index and Long-term Solar Observations. (Version 2.0 (Alternate series), Svalgaard & Schatten 2015: "backbone" yearly mean group number). Accessed June 3rd, 2016.

First, the file GN_y_tot_V2.0.csv (containing the SILO data) has been extended by adding the predicted values for 2016-2020:

2016.5 3.03 0 0
2017.5 2.13 0 0  
2018.5 1.12 0 0  
2019.5 0.52 0 0

Then create the smoothed data:

# -*- coding: utf-8 -*-
# based on https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Temp-sunspot-co2.svg
# by Leland McInnes aus der englischsprachigen Wikipedia ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Leland_McInnes )
# see also http://scipy-cookbook.readthedocs.io/items/SignalSmooth.html

from decimal import *
import numpy as np
# import matplotlib.pylab as plt
 
def smooth(signal, window_size):
    # fold the data at the edges; this will enable plotting a graph up to the edges based upon the assumption
    # that the signal behaved / will behave symmetrically prior to / after data was available;
    extended_signal = signal[window_size:0:-1] + signal + signal[-1:-window_size:-1]
    s = np.array(extended_signal)
    # create an array with values for a hamming window; cf. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Hamming_window
    w = np.blackman(window_size)
    # smooth the data
    y = np.convolve(w/w.sum(), s, mode="same")
    return y[window_size:-window_size+1]

sunspot_file = open("GN_y_tot_V2.0.csv")
data_rows = [x.split() for x in sunspot_file if "*" not in x]
sun_years = [float(x[0]) for x in data_rows]
sunspots_norm = [float(x[1])*12.8 for x in data_rows]

# smoothing to remove high-frequency signal of magnetic cycle
smoothed_sunspots = smooth(sunspots_norm, 33)

smoothed_sunspot_file = open("GN_y_tot_V2.0_smoothed.txt","w")
for i in range(smoothed_sunspots.size):
    smoothed_sunspot_file.write(str(sun_years[i]) + ' '+ str(sunspots_norm[i]) + ' ' + str(smoothed_sunspots[i]) +'\n')

smoothed_sunspot_file.close()

Plot with Gnuplot 4.4 using the following script:

set terminal svg enhanced size 1000 425 fname "Nimbus Sans L" fsize 14
set output "sunspots-gn-yr-total-smoothed.svg"
set title "Sunspot Observations, 1610 – 2015"  font "Nimbus Sans L, 20"
set datafile missing '"#N/A"'
set obj 1 rectangle behind from screen 0,0 to screen 1,1
set obj 1 fillstyle solid 1.0 fillcolor rgbcolor "light-grey"
set obj 2 rectangle behind from graph 0,0 to graph 1,1
set obj 2 fillstyle solid 1.0 fillcolor rgbcolor "white"
set key below vertical maxcols 1 maxrows 1 width -25 nobox font ",10" samplen 1
set grid noxtics y2tics ls 2
unset ytics
set yrange [0:210]
set label "Maunder\nMinimum" at 1675,107 center
set label "Dalton\nMinimum" at 1813,107 center
set label "Modern\nMaximum" at 1955,159 right
set y2tics border out nomirror 0,50,200
set xrange [1610:2015]
set xtics border out nomirror 1600,50,2050
set mxtics 5
set y2label 'Sunspot number'
set style data lines
plot 0 lt rgbcolor "black" lw 0 title "Group sunspot number V2.0 (SILSO Data): ", \
     'GN_y_tot_V2.0_smoothed.txt' using 1:2 lt rgbcolor "red" lw 3 title "yearly avg. (* 12.8 normalized)", \
     'GN_y_tot_V2.0_smoothed.txt' using 1:3 lt rgbcolor "black" lw 3 title "33 yrs smoothed"
show label

Licensing

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I, the copyright holder of this work, hereby publish it under the following licenses:
GNU head Permission is granted to copy, distribute and/or modify this document under the terms of the GNU Free Documentation License, Version 1.2 or any later version published by the Free Software Foundation; with no Invariant Sections, no Front-Cover Texts, and no Back-Cover Texts. A copy of the license is included in the section entitled GNU Free Documentation License.
w:en:Creative Commons
attribution share alike
This file is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike Attribution-Share Alike 4.0 International, 3.0 Unported, 2.5 Generic, 2.0 Generic and 1.0 Generic license.
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  • to share – to copy, distribute and transmit the work
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Under the following conditions:
  • attribution – You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.
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File history

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Date/TimeThumbnailDimensionsUserComment
current10:10, 23 September 2016Thumbnail for version as of 10:10, 23 September 20161,000 × 425 (33 KB)DeWikiMan (talk | contribs)colors and font changed
12:57, 16 September 2016Thumbnail for version as of 12:57, 16 September 20161,000 × 425 (29 KB)DeWikiMan (talk | contribs){{Information |Description ={{en|1=Group sunspot number v 2.0, 1610-2015 (SILO data): * yr. 1610-2015: [http://www.sidc.be/silso/groupnumberv2 Yearly mean group number (v.2)] from the backbone observer method (Svalgaard & Schatten 2016), source: WD...

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