File:NOT CAN I, BUT SHOULD I- ANALYZING THE PRE-EXISTING CONDITIONS SURROUNDING SUCCESSFUL THIRD-PARTY INTERVENTION INTO INTRASTATE CONFLICTS (IA notcanibutshould1094561341).pdf
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NOT CAN I, BUT SHOULD I: ANALYZING THE PRE-EXISTING CONDITIONS SURROUNDING SUCCESSFUL THIRD-PARTY INTERVENTION INTO INTRASTATE CONFLICTS ( ) | ||
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Author |
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Title |
NOT CAN I, BUT SHOULD I: ANALYZING THE PRE-EXISTING CONDITIONS SURROUNDING SUCCESSFUL THIRD-PARTY INTERVENTION INTO INTRASTATE CONFLICTS |
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Publisher |
Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School |
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Description |
The purpose of this study is to identify the conditions that support successful third-party intervention into foreign intrastate conflicts on behalf of resistance movements—specifically, movements aiming at revolution or regime change. While the United States successfully intervened into and even generated resistance movements during the Cold War, most of its interventions failed to achieve strategic objectives. That trend continues today: most saliently, the U.S. military is still present in Afghanistan after nearly two decades, with no successful conclusion in sight. The ongoing war in Afghanistan is the product of strategic decision-making that focused on achieving a specific outcome without considering the pre-existing conditions necessary to achieve success. In order to deter such an outcome, decision-makers must develop more trenchant decision calculus surrounding third-party intervention. To identify the pre-existing conditions that facilitate success, this thesis uses quantitative analysis of intrastate conflicts to determine the effects of political, military, economic, social, and informational condition types upon rebel victory and loss; government victory; and the level of violence within the conflict. Three case studies serve as a means to apply the empirical results and to draw salient conclusions based upon actual conflicts. Subjects: unconventional warfare; irregular warfare; third-party intervention; intrastate conflict |
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Language | English | |
Publication date | December 2018 | |
Current location |
IA Collections: navalpostgraduateschoollibrary; fedlink |
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Accession number |
notcanibutshould1094561341 |
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Permission (Reusing this file) |
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States. |
Licensing[edit]
Public domainPublic domainfalsefalse |
This work is in the public domain in the United States because it is a work prepared by an officer or employee of the United States Government as part of that person’s official duties under the terms of Title 17, Chapter 1, Section 105 of the US Code.
Note: This only applies to original works of the Federal Government and not to the work of any individual U.S. state, territory, commonwealth, county, municipality, or any other subdivision. This template also does not apply to postage stamp designs published by the United States Postal Service since 1978. (See § 313.6(C)(1) of Compendium of U.S. Copyright Office Practices). It also does not apply to certain US coins; see The US Mint Terms of Use.
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This file has been identified as being free of known restrictions under copyright law, including all related and neighboring rights. |
https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/PDMCreative Commons Public Domain Mark 1.0falsefalse
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current | 11:05, 23 July 2020 | 1,275 × 1,650, 148 pages (2.39 MB) | Fæ (talk | contribs) | FEDLINK - United States Federal Collection notcanibutshould1094561341 (User talk:Fæ/IA books#Fork8) (batch 1993-2020 #23541) |
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Short title | NOT CAN I, BUT SHOULD I: ANALYZING THE PRE-EXISTING CONDITIONS SURROUNDING SUCCESSFUL THIRD-PARTY INTERVENTION INTO INTRASTATE CONFLICTS |
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Image title | |
Author | Costa, Ruben L., Desouza, Jonathan A., Harth, Ryan M. |
Software used | Costa, Ruben L., Desouza, Jonathan A., Harth, Ryan M. |
Conversion program | Adobe PDF Library 11.0 |
Encrypted | no |
Page size | 612 x 792 pts (letter) |
Version of PDF format | 1.4 |