File:FORECASTING CRITICAL AIRCRAFT LAUNCH AND RECOVERY EQUIPMENT (ALRE) COMPONENTS' DEMAND (IA forecastingcriti1094561212).pdf
Original file (1,275 × 1,650 pixels, file size: 3.3 MB, MIME type: application/pdf, 94 pages)
Captions
Captions
Summary[edit]
FORECASTING CRITICAL AIRCRAFT LAUNCH AND RECOVERY EQUIPMENT (ALRE) COMPONENTS' DEMAND
(   ) |
||
|---|---|---|
| Author |
|
 |
| Title |
FORECASTING CRITICAL AIRCRAFT LAUNCH AND RECOVERY EQUIPMENT (ALRE) COMPONENTS' DEMAND |
|
| Publisher |
Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School |
|
| Description |
Demand signals across the Navy’s NIMITZ Class Carrier (CVN) Aircraft Launch and Recovery Equipment (ALRE) market-basket are highly erratic and do not fit neatly into the traditional demand-based sparing construct. This causes the Naval Supply Systems Command Weapons Systems Support (NAVSUP WSS) planning efforts to continually lag behind requirements, with material often arriving late-to-need. This project attempts to develop a comprehensive and more reliable ALRE material requirement forecast model. To accomplish this effectively, a comprehensive list of historical CVN ALRE demand data were analyzed in order to identify any correlation between ALRE demand and a ship’s operating phase status, and to identify whether that correlation directly drives ALRE demand. The analysis begins by collecting historical CVN ALRE demand data and identifying the improvements for the current forecasting model. After a complete analysis of the current forecasting model, we utilized multiple linear regression and evaluated various forecasting methods as the best available methods for developing/discovering an optimized and robust forecasting method. In conclusion, the extremely low demand quantities of critical ALRE components continue to make forecasting extremely unreliable, but we believe NAVSUP can improve the accuracy of ALRE demand forecast by adapting a flexible forecasting system. Subjects: CVN Aircraft Launch and Recovery Equipment (ALRE); interim supply support (ISS); demand forecasting; NAVAIR; NAVSEA; NAVSUP |
|
| Language | English | |
| Publication date | December 2018 | |
| Current location |
IA Collections: navalpostgraduateschoollibrary; fedlink |
|
| Accession number |
forecastingcriti1094561212 |
|
| Source | ||
| Permission (Reusing this file) |
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States. | |
Licensing[edit]
|
This work is in the public domain in the United States because it is a work prepared by an officer or employee of the United States Government as part of that person’s official duties under the terms of Title 17, Chapter 1, Section 105 of the US Code.
Note: This only applies to original works of the Federal Government and not to the work of any individual U.S. state, territory, commonwealth, county, municipality, or any other subdivision. This template also does not apply to postage stamp designs published by the United States Postal Service since 1978. (See § 313.6(C)(1) of Compendium of U.S. Copyright Office Practices). It also does not apply to certain US coins; see The US Mint Terms of Use.
|
 |
| This file has been identified as being free of known restrictions under copyright law, including all related and neighboring rights. | ||
File history
Click on a date/time to view the file as it appeared at that time.
| Date/Time | Thumbnail | Dimensions | User | Comment | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | 16:57, 20 July 2020 |  | 1,275 × 1,650, 94 pages (3.3 MB) | Fæ (talk | contribs) | FEDLINK - United States Federal Collection forecastingcriti1094561212 (User talk:Fæ/IA books#Fork8) (batch 1993-2020 #16865) |
You cannot overwrite this file.
File usage on Commons
The following page uses this file: