File:Artificial intelligence and foreign policy decision-making (IA artificialintell00berk).pdf

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Original file ‎(1,189 × 1,577 pixels, file size: 8.85 MB, MIME type: application/pdf, 184 pages)

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Artificial intelligence and foreign policy decision-making   (Wikidata search (Cirrus search) Wikidata query (SPARQL)  Create new Wikidata item based on this file)
Author
Berkoff, Russ H.
image of artwork listed in title parameter on this page
Title
Artificial intelligence and foreign policy decision-making
Publisher
Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School
Description
"December 1997."
Thesis advisor(s): John Arquilla
Thesis (M.S. in Defense Analysis) Naval Postgraduate School, December 1997
Includes bibliographical references (p. 163-165)
With the advent of a global information society, the US will seek to tap the potential of advanced computing capability to enhance its ability to conduct foreign policy decision making. This thesis explores the potential for improving individual and organizational decision making capabilities by means of artificial intelligence (AI). The use of AI will allow us to take advantage of the plethora of information available to obtain an edge over potential adversaries. Another purpose of this thesis is to give guidance to the software community as to what policymakers will need in order to improve future decision making processes. The third purpose is to encourage government and private sector decision makers to allocate adequate resources to actualize the potential of AI. The method of analysis this thesis uses is to examine US foreign policy decision making on the cognitive or individual, group, and organizational levels. Using the Cuban Missile Crisis and the Yom Kippur War as test beds for critical analysis, identification of both decision enhancing and impeding functions is accomplished. Finally, a counterfactual analytic framework, using an AI model, tests the likely influence of AI on decision making. The results substantiate the value of AI as both a decision making enhancer and an impediment reducer for the policymaker. Additional conclusions are derived that improve the decision making system and its processes by means of introducing an AI capability
Mode of access: World Wide Web
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat reader
US Army (USA) author
dk/dk cc:9116 05/08/98

Subjects:
Language en_US
Publication date December 1997
publication_date QS:P577,+1997-12-00T00:00:00Z/10
Current location
IA Collections: navalpostgraduateschoollibrary; fedlink; americana
Accession number
artificialintell00berk
Authority file  OCLC: 1039992096
Source
Internet Archive identifier: artificialintell00berk
https://archive.org/download/artificialintell00berk/artificialintell00berk.pdf

Licensing[edit]

Public domain
This file is a work of a U.S. Army soldier or employee, taken or made as part of that person's official duties. As a work of the U.S. federal government, it is in the public domain in the United States.

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