File:20200421 B 7948 293 E 14872 125.png

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Captions

Captions

Logistic growth model fits for hospitalised COVID-19 cases in Belgium for data from 15/03/2020 until 20/04/2020.

Summary[edit]

Description
English: Logistic growth model fits for hospitalised COVID-19 cases in Belgium for data from 15/03/2020 until 20/04/2020. As we can now make out two phases separated by the red horizontal line. One from 15/03/2020 until 31/03/2020 (with a fit in green) and the one form 01/04/2020 until 20/04/2020 (with a fit in blue).

The initial phase (green) had exponential growth/decline rate of 29.3% and the total number of cumulated hospitalised cases stabilises at 7948. The second phase (blue) has exponential growth/decline rate of 12.5% and the total number of cumulated hospitalised cases stabilises at 14872.

Beyond the 20th of April the curves shown are only a trend according to the logistic growth model, these have an uncertainty range associated to them and should not be seen as a prediction.
Date
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Author Stigin

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current14:51, 21 April 2020Thumbnail for version as of 14:51, 21 April 20201,890 × 1,199 (109 KB)Stigin (talk | contribs)Uploaded own work with UploadWizard

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